By Sofia Guerra, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The rapid integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems presents both opportunities and risks. While AI can enhance decision-making and operational efficiency, it also increases vulnerabilities, such as automation bias, miscalculation risks, and compressed decision timelines. In the U.S.-China context— marked […]
Tag: Marcellus Policy Analysis
Realism and Restraint Advances America’s Interests in Latin America (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By George Barber, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The new administration of President Donald Trump should not go to war in Mexico to eradicate Mexican drug cartels and stop the flow of fentanyl. The United States would be drawn into a costly and likely unwinnable war that it simply cannot afford at the current moment. […]
We’re Rocking Boats We Can’t Sink: How a Restraint Pact with China Resolves America’s Ship-Killing Deficiency (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By Kamsi Obiorah, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The “one-China” policy has been chronically invalidated by U.S. presidents over time, which has increasedthe likelihood of a future Chinese invasion of Taiwan. Instead of rashly promising to militarily defend Taiwan in battle, Washington must face the reality of its disappointing anti-ship weapons stockpile and that of […]
Bull in the China Shop- America’s Israel Policy Harms Relations with China (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By Garrett Ehinger, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow Unwavering U.S. support for Israel risks destabilizing the Middle East by enabling escalatory Israeli actions, such as strikes on Iran and the invasion of Lebanon. This threatens American regional interests, including oil production and counterterrorism efforts, while also jeopardizing similar Chinese interests, such as stability for the […]
The Red Sea Crisis: Navigating Failure and Correcting Course (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By Chad Kunkle, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The crisis in the Red Sea has caused serious troubles for global trade and American prestige. The current approach towards the Houthis is failing due to the material and strategic realities that constrain U.S. policy in the Middle East, primarily that the United States has a limited […]
New Nuclear Age, New Nuclear Problems: How the United States Can Engage China Through Behavioral Arms Control (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By John Lubianetsky, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The collapse of Cold War-era arms control regimes and the rise of new technologies demand a fresh approach to arms control between the United States and China. Historically, bilateral agreements with the Soviet Union and later Russia have shaped U.S. arms control efforts. However, China’s changing approach […]
Hope for the Best, Prepare for the BRICS: The US-Led World Order and Its Challenges (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By Evan Ward, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The degree to which multipolarity is relevant on the international stage is, among some, underappreciated. Since assuming global leadership at the end of World War II, the United States has often overextended and made decisions in pursuit of short-term gains without consideration of long-term risks. In the […]
The Abraham Accords and the Peace Mirage: Analyzing the Failure of Gulf-Israeli Normalization as a Framework for Regional Peace (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By Omar Abdelrahman, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The United States has invested significant political capital in its attempt to normalize relations between Israel and its Arab neighbors. Two subsequent administrations have made the Abraham Accords their signature foreign policy in the Middle East. President Donald Trump, with his knack for deal-making, has managed to […]
Adversarial Cooperation: Avoiding War with China Through Climate Financing in Africa (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By Griffin Stibor, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The United States and China have the opportunity to change the framing of great-power rivalry in Africa through strategic cooperation on climate change. Both the United States and China have an interest in addressing climate change and both countries are currently engaged in Africa. The United States […]
The Case for Nuclearization in South Korea and Japan to Enable US Withdrawal (Marcellus Policy Analysis)
By William Purdy, Fall 2024 Marcellus Policy Fellow The United States has long prided itself on its defensive alliances with both Japan and South Korea. As a staunch ally offering its nuclear umbrella to protect both countries, the United States has provided significant resources to their defense and protection for over 75 years. As challenges […]